2025 Topps Star Wars Smugglers Outpost Odds
About 2025 Topps Star Wars Smugglers Outpost
A galaxy of collecting possibilities arrives March 18, 2026, as 2025 Topps Star Wars Smugglers Outpost brings together decades of Star Wars collecting legacy into one comprehensive release. This first-year brand from Topps combines the most popular elements from across Star Wars products into a single destination, offering collectors familiar chrome technology alongside fresh insert concepts and an autograph lineup that spans the entire Star Wars saga. The product breaks convention with a unique three-tier base structure totaling 200 cards. The Finest tier features 75 cards falling one per pack, Chrome Black offers another 75 cards also at one per pack, and Galactic Antiquities rounds out the checklist with 50 cards at one per six packs. This structure creates distinct collecting experiences within each box, with Finest and Chrome Black driving pack openings while Galactic Antiquities emerge as the short-print chase base cards. Hobby boxes deliver substantial value with 30 cards per pack across one pack, averaging one on-card autograph plus two additional autograph or sketch cards per box. For collectors seeking a comprehensive <a href='https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=2025+topps+star+wars+smugglers+outpost+hobby+box&campid=5339114036&toolid=10001&mkcid=1&mkevt=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>2025 Topps Star Wars Smugglers Outpost hobby boxes</a>, the product delivers the complete Star Wars experience in one package.
- Release Date: 2026-03-18
- 1 box format available to compare
Value Analysis
The values above represent the expected cost to obtain each card type based on the stated odds and current box price. These are calculated averages and actual results may vary.
Based on the current box price of approximately $340, you can expect to pay about $11.33 per card in this format. This provides 30 cards per box, offering a straightforward way to build your collection.
In terms of specific card categories, autographs can be expected at approximately $132.99 per auto, parallels come at around $155.81 per parallel, inserts can be obtained at approximately $77.58 per insert, based on the manufacturer-stated odds and box configuration. These expected values help you understand what you might find in each box.
Recommendations based on manufacturer-stated odds and box prices at time of last update. Actual prices and results may vary.
Incomplete Odds Data Detected:
This odds sheet accounts for approximately 11 cards per box, but the actual box contains 30 cards. Base cards may be significantly undercounted.
Cost calculations may be inaccurate due to missing data.
| Category | Expected / Box | Cost / Hit | Hit Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Cards | 2.17 | $156.92 | 100% |
| Inserts | 4.38 | $77.58 | 100% |
| Parallels | 2.18 | $155.81 | 100% |
| Autographs | 2.56 | $132.99 | 96% |
Multi-Box Projections
| Boxes | Base | Inserts | Parallels | Autographs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 13.1 | 6.5 | 7.7 |
| 5 | 10.8 | 21.9 | 10.9 | 12.8 |
| 10 | 21.7 | 43.8 | 21.8 | 25.6 |
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ
Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.
Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.
Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.
Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.
Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.
Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →
Hobby $ Enter box price | |
|---|---|
| Price | $339.99 |
| Cards / Box | 30 |
| Cost / Card | 11.33 |
| Packs | 1 |
| Cost / Pack | 339.99 |
| Card↑ | CostCost |
| $339.99 | |
| $339.99 | |
| $1,359.96 | |
| $1,699.95 | |
| $2,379.93 | |
| $4,419.87 | |
| $10,539.69 | |
| $21,079.38 | |
| $106,416.87 | |
| $339.99 | |
| $2,379.93 | |
| $4,419.87 | |
| $10,539.69 | |
| $21,079.38 | |
| $106,416.87 | |
| $2,039.94 | |
| $3,399.90 | |
| $6,459.81 | |
| $15,639.54 | |
| $31,619.07 | |
| $160,475.28 | |
| $160,475.28 | |
| $679.98 | |
| $3,399.90 | |
| $6,459.81 | |
| $12,919.62 | |
| $31,619.07 | |
| $63,578.13 | |
| $314,150.76 | |
| $679.98 | |
| $3,399.90 | |
| $6,459.81 | |
| $12,919.62 | |
| $31,619.07 | |
| $63,578.13 | |
| $314,150.76 | |
| $679.98 | |
| $3,399.90 | |
| $6,459.81 | |
| $12,919.62 | |
| $31,619.07 | |
| $63,578.13 | |
| $314,150.76 | |
| $339.99 | |
| $1,019.97 | |
| $1,699.95 | |
| $3,399.90 | |
| $8,159.76 | |
| $15,979.53 | |
| $79,557.66 | |
| $4,079.88 | |
| $10,539.69 | |
| $21,079.38 | |
| $53,038.44 | |
| $104,716.92 | |
| $502,505.22 | |
| $4,079.88 | |
| $8,159.76 | |
| $15,979.53 | |
| $39,778.83 | |
| $79,557.66 | |
| $396,768.33 | |
| $4,079.88 | |
| $8,159.76 | |
| $15,979.53 | |
| $39,778.83 | |
| $79,557.66 | |
| $396,768.33 | |
| $8,159.76 | |
| $15,979.53 | |
| $39,778.83 | |
| $79,557.66 | |
| $396,768.33 | |
| $9,179.73 | |
| $31,619.07 | |
| $79,557.66 | |
| $157,075.38 | |
| $753,757.83 | |
| $679.98 | |
| $4,419.87 | |
| $8,839.74 | |
| $15,639.54 | |
| $26,519.22 | |
| $31,959.06 | |
| $150,275.58 | |
| $58,478.28 | |
| $1,019.97 | |
| $2,719.92 | |
| $4,079.88 | |
| $5,099.85 | |
| $7,139.79 | |
| $12,919.62 | |
| $26,519.22 | |
| $31,959.06 | |
| $46,578.63 | |
| $156,395.40 | |
| $61,878.18 | |
| $679.98 | |
| $2,379.93 | |
| $8,159.76 | |
| $15,299.55 | |
| $28,559.16 | |
| $147,555.66 | |
| $147,555.66 | |
| $147,555.66 | |
| $12,919.62 | |
| $25,839.24 | |
| $45,218.67 | |
| $112,536.69 | |
| $147,555.66 | |
| $753,077.85 | |
| $753,077.85 | |
| $313,810.77 | |
| $941,092.32 | |
| $627,621.54 | |
| $753,077.85 | |
| $228,133.29 | |
| $1,075,728.36 | |
| $941,092.32 | |
| $7,537,578.30 | |
| $7,537,578.30 | |
| $39,098.85 | |
| $1,019.97 | |
| $13,259.61 | |
| $48,278.58 | |
| $76,837.74 | |
| $73,777.83 |
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