2025 Topps Chrome SpongeBob SquarePants 25th Anniversary Odds

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About 2025 Topps Chrome SpongeBob SquarePants 25th Anniversary

Who lives in a pineapple under the sea? For 25 years, that question has launched countless episodes of SpongeBob SquarePants, the animated phenomenon that debuted on Nickelodeon in 1999 and grew from a quirky underwater adventure into a global pop culture juggernaut. On October 1, 2025, Topps brings Bikini Bottom to the Chrome landscape with 2025 Topps Chrome SpongeBob SquarePants 25th Anniversary, marking the first Chromium treatment for the absorbent yellow legend. While Topps previously issued SpongeBob cards back in 2009, this Chrome release represents a dramatically different approach - joining the established non-sport Chrome family alongside Disney, Marvel, and Star Wars with the full parallel rainbow treatment that collectors expect from the brand. The 200-card base set captures iconic characters, beloved locations, and memorable moments across the show's quarter-century run, from the Fry Cook at the Krusty Krab to the residents of Rock Bottom. Hobby boxes deliver two numbered parallels per box, while Value Blasters offer the exclusive Kelp Green Refractor at two per box, creating different collecting experiences for different budgets. <a href='https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_nkw=2025+topps+chrome+spongebob+hobby+box&campid=5339114036&toolid=10001&mkcid=1&mkevt=1&mkrid=711-53200-19255-0' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>2025 Topps Chrome SpongeBob hobby boxes</a> arrived at $259.99 with five autograph or sketch cards per 12-box case, while Value Blasters at $39.99 average two autos per 40-box case. This isn't just another non-sport release - it's a celebration of 25 years of nautical nonsense, ready for Chrome chasers and SpongeBob superfans alike.

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  • Release Date: 2025-10-01
  • 3 box formats available to compare
Jump to Value Sheet

Value Recommendations

For Cost per Card:Value Box SE$1.43For Autos:Value Box SE$762For Parallels:Value Box SE$8.13For Inserts:Value Box SE$15.6

These values represent the expected cost to hit one card, autograph, parallel, or insert based on the format's odds and box price.

Value Box SE offers the lowest cost per card at approximately $1.43 per card. Compared to other formats, this provides the most economical way to build the base set.

When targeting specific card categories, target Value Box SE for autographs at approximately $761.96 per auto; Value Box SE offers the best value for parallels at $8.13 per parallel; Value Box SE leads for insert value at $15.60 per insert. These recommendations are based on expected hit rates and box prices.

Box prices range from approximately $40 to $330. The premium formats typically offer better hit rates but lower overall card value, while value-oriented formats provide more cards per dollar spent.

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Recommendations based on manufacturer-stated odds and box prices at time of last update. Actual prices and results may vary.

$
60 cards/box12 packs/box
⚠️

Incomplete Odds Data Detected:

This odds sheet accounts for approximately 13 cards per box, but the actual box contains 60 cards. Base cards are not listed in the odds sheet.

Cost calculations may be inaccurate due to missing data.

CategoryExpected / BoxCost / HitHit Chance
Inserts6.20$53.23100%
Parallels6.26$52.76100%
Autographs0.39$853.0837%
Definitions: Base Cards (non-parallel base only) • Parallels (base card parallels only) • Inserts (all inserts including insert parallels) • Auto Relics (auto + relic) • Autos (non-relic autos only, include auto parallels) • Relics (non-auto relics only)• Base cards not in odds sheet

Multi-Box Projections

BoxesInsertsParallelsAutographs
16.26.30.4
318.618.81.2
531.031.31.9
1062.062.63.9
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ

Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.

Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.

Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.

Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.

Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.

How to use: Enter your box price in the blue input field to calculate the cost per card type. Use the toggle to switch between "Show Cost" and "Show Odds Only" views. Costs are color-coded from green (best value) to red (highest cost).

Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →

Hobby
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Value Box SE
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Value Box EA
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Price$329.99$40.00$40.00
Cards / Box602828
Cost / Card5.501.431.43
Packs1277
Cost / Pack27.505.715.71
CardCostCostCost
Base Set Wave Refractor
$687.48$320.00N/A
Base Set Refractor
$82.50$20.00$20.00
Base Set Kelp Green
N/A$17.14$17.14
Base Set Aqua Lava
$604.98$280.00$280.00
Base Set Blue Refractor
$797.48$371.43$371.43
Base Set BubbleFractor
$1,182.46$560.00$560.00
Base Set FlowerCloudfractor
$1,567.45$737.14$737.14
Base Set Gold Refractor
$2,364.93$1,108.57$1,108.57
Base Set Orange Refractor
$4,702.36$2,211.43$2,211.43
Base Set Black Refractor
$11,714.65$5,531.43$5,520.00
Base Set Red Refractor
$23,401.79$11,057.14$11,040.00
Base Set SuperFractor
$117,008.95$55,285.71$55,194.29
Base Set Nightshift Variant Base
$4,619.86$2,182.86$2,177.14
25th Anniversary
$659.98$411.43$411.43
25th Anniversary Gold Refractor
$46,198.60$21,628.57$22,108.57
25th Anniversary Orange Refractor
$92,039.71$43,480.00$44,445.71
25th Anniversary Black Refractor
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
25th Anniversary Red Refractor
$460,171.06$219,674.29$224,565.71
25th Anniversary SuperFractor
$2,224,132.60$1,043,434.29$1,066,668.57
Gross Out!
$2,639.92$1,645.71$1,645.71
Gross Out! Gold Refractor
$46,198.60$21,628.57$22,108.57
Gross Out! Orange Refractor
$92,039.71$43,480.00$44,445.71
Gross Out! Black Refractor
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
Gross Out! Red Refractor
$460,171.06$219,674.29$224,565.71
Gross Out! SuperFractor
$2,224,132.60$1,043,434.29$1,066,668.57
Kelp Review
$165.00$40.00$40.00
Kelp Review Gold Refractor
$23,071.80$10,817.14$11,057.14
Kelp Review Orange Refractor
$46,198.60$21,628.57$22,108.57
Kelp Review Black Refractor
$115,056.51$54,205.71$55,411.43
Kelp Review Red Refractor
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
Kelp Review SuperFractor
$1,112,066.30$521,720.00$533,337.14
Masterful Memes
$1,319.96$880.00$880.00
Masterful Memes Gold Refractor
$46,198.60$21,628.57$22,108.57
Masterful Memes Orange Refractor
$92,039.71$43,480.00$44,445.71
Masterful Memes Black Refractor
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
Masterful Memes Red Refractor
$460,171.06$219,674.29$224,565.71
Masterful Memes SuperFractor
$2,224,132.60$1,043,434.29$1,066,668.57
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy
$329.99$120.00$120.00
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy Gold Refractor
$23,071.80$10,817.14$11,057.14
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy Orange Refractor
$46,198.60$21,628.57$22,108.57
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy Black Refractor
$115,056.51$54,205.71$55,411.43
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy Red Refractor
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
Mermaid Man & Barnacle Boy SuperFractor
$1,112,066.30$521,720.00$533,337.14
SONG Songs
$165.00$40.00$40.00
SONG Songs Gold Refractor
$30,771.57$14,445.71$14,765.71
SONG Songs Orange Refractor
$61,515.64$28,788.57$29,428.57
SONG Songs Black Refractor
$155,177.80$71,965.71$73,565.71
SONG Songs Red Refractor
$303,315.81$143,925.71$147,131.43
SONG Songs SuperFractor
$1,482,755.07$695,622.86$711,114.29
Bikini Bottom VIPs
$13,199.60$8,228.57$8,234.29
Bikini Bottom VIPs Red Refractor
$303,315.81$143,925.71$147,131.43
Bikini Bottom VIPs SuperFractor
$1,482,755.07$695,622.86$711,114.29
Bikini Bottom VIPs Dual
$26,399.20$16,457.14$16,462.86
Bikini Bottom VIPs Dual Red Refractor
$460,171.06$219,674.29$224,565.71
Bikini Bottom VIPs Dual SuperFractor
$2,224,132.60$1,043,434.29$1,066,668.57
Bikini Bottom VIPs Triple
$52,798.40$32,914.29$32,920.00
Bikini Bottom VIPs Triple Red Refractor
$953,203.61$417,371.43$426,668.57
Bikini Bottom VIPs Triple SuperFractor
$4,448,265.20$2,086,862.86$2,133,337.14
Bold and Brash
$953,203.61$417,371.43$372,514.29
Bold and Brash SuperFractor
N/AN/AN/A
SB 129 Chrome
$230,085.53$109,840.00$112,285.71
Squidward's Gallery
$8,387.25$5,228.57$5,228.57
Squidward's Gallery Red Refractor
$460,171.06$219,674.29$224,565.71
Squidward's Gallery SuperFractor
$2,224,132.60$1,043,434.29$1,066,668.57
Patty Hype
$342,144.63$161,662.86$161,388.57
Spongebob Shadowbox
$235,227.87$111,142.86$110,954.29
Spongebob Shadowbox SuperFractor
$4,448,265.20$2,086,862.86$2,133,337.14
Spongebob's Wallet
$46,638.59$22,034.29$22,000.00
Dual Autos
$31,129.06$27,822.86$27,822.86
Dual Autos Orange Refractor
$122,453.79$110,571.43$110,571.43
Dual Autos Black Refractor
$303,315.81$280,108.57$280,108.57
Dual Autos Red Refractor
$635,478.24$525,200.00$525,200.00
Dual Autos SuperFractor
$2,668,959.12$2,100,800.00$2,100,800.00
Solo Autos
$1,017.47$908.57$908.57
Solo Autos Gold Refractor
$13,227.10$11,840.00$11,840.00
Solo Autos Orange Refractor
$26,426.70$23,742.86$23,742.86
Solo Autos Black Refractor
$66,410.49$59,182.86$59,182.86
Solo Autos Red Refractor
$132,133.50$116,714.29$116,714.29
Solo Autos SuperFractor
$667,239.78$600,234.29$600,234.29
Triple Autos
$177,947.11$161,600.00$161,600.00
Triple Autos Red Refractor
$1,906,407.23$1,400,537.14$1,400,537.14
Triple Autos SuperFractor
$6,672,397.80$4,201,600.00$4,201,600.00
Doodlebob Sketch
$62,973.09$56,777.14$56,777.14
Sketch Cards
$2,997.41$2,668.57$2,668.57

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