2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Update Series Baseball Odds

Analyze 2025 Topps Chrome Sapphire Update Series Baseball pack odds and calculate the true cost to hit the cards you're chasing. Compare box formats including Hobby, Jumbo, Blaster, and more to find the best value for your breaks. View hit rates for autographs, relics, parallels, and rookie cards with real-time cost calculations based on current box prices. Make informed decisions before you buy with comprehensive odds analysis and expected value calculations.

How to use: Enter your box price in the blue input field to calculate the cost per card type. Use the toggle to switch between "Show Cost" and "Show Odds Only" views. Costs are color-coded from green (best value) to red (highest cost).
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$
32 cards/box8 packs/box
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Incomplete Odds Data Detected:

This odds sheet accounts for approximately 13 cards per box, but the actual box contains 32 cards. Base cards may be significantly undercounted.

Cost calculations may be inaccurate due to missing data.

CategoryExpected / BoxCost / HitHit Chance
Base Cards8.00$62.50100%
Inserts0.21$2419.3119%
Parallels3.27$153.12100%
Autographs1.05$477.7771%
Definitions: Base Cards (non-parallel base only) • Parallels (base card parallels only) • Inserts (all inserts including insert parallels) • Auto Relics (auto + relic) • Autos (non-relic autos only, include auto parallels) • Relics (non-auto relics only)

Multi-Box Projections

BoxesBaseInsertsParallelsAutographs
18.00.23.31.0
324.00.69.83.1
540.01.016.35.2
1080.02.132.710.5
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ

Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.

Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.

Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.

Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.

Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.

Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →

Hobby
$
Enter box price
Price$500.00
Cards / Box32
Cost / Card$15.63
Packs8
Cost / Pack$62.50
CardCost
BASE CARDS SAPPHIRE
$62.50
BASE CARDS GREEN SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$312.50
BASE CARDS GOLD SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$562.50
BASE CARDS ORANGE SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$1,062.50
BASE CARDS BLACK SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$2,625.00
BASE CARDS RED SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$5,187.50
BASE CARDS PADPRADASCHA
$26,187.50
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS
$5,000.00
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS ORANGE SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$10,500.00
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS BLACK SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$26,187.50
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS RED SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$52,687.50
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS PADPRADASCHA
$263,625.00
MICKEY AND FRIENDS SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$17,500.00
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS
$1,125.00
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS GREEN SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$1,937.50
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS GOLD SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$3,937.50
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS ORANGE SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$7,500.00
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS BLACK SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$19,937.50
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS RED SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$36,062.50
TOPPS CHROME SAPPHIRE AUTOGRAPHS PADPRADASCHA
$178,937.50
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION
$6,875.00
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION ORANGE SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$23,000.00
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION BLACK SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$56,937.50
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION RED SAPPHIRE REFRACTOR
$111,375.00
SAPPHIRE SELECTIONS AUTOGRAPH VARIATION PADPRADASCHA
$556,687.50

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