2025 Bowman Mega Box Baseball Odds

Analyze 2025 Bowman Mega Box Baseball pack odds and calculate the true cost to hit the cards you're chasing. Compare box formats including Hobby, Jumbo, Blaster, and more to find the best value for your breaks. View hit rates for autographs, relics, parallels, and rookie cards with real-time cost calculations based on current box prices. Make informed decisions before you buy with comprehensive odds analysis and expected value calculations.

How to use: Enter your box price in the blue input field to calculate the cost per card type. Use the toggle to switch between "Show Cost" and "Show Odds Only" views. Costs are color-coded from green (best value) to red (highest cost).
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$
30 cards/box4 packs/box
⚠️

Incomplete Odds Data Detected:

This odds sheet accounts for approximately 4 cards per box, but the actual box contains 30 cards. Base cards are not listed in the odds sheet.

Cost calculations may be inaccurate due to missing data.

CategoryExpected / BoxCost / HitHit Chance
Inserts2.76$18.12100%
Parallels0.57$87.3945%
Autographs0.28$180.0826%
Definitions: Base Cards (non-parallel base only) • Parallels (base card parallels only) • Inserts (all inserts including insert parallels) • Auto Relics (auto + relic) • Autos (non-relic autos only, include auto parallels) • Relics (non-auto relics only)• Base cards not in odds sheet

Multi-Box Projections

BoxesInsertsParallelsAutographs
12.80.60.3
38.31.70.8
513.82.91.4
1027.65.72.8
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ

Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.

Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.

Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.

Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.

Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.

Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →

Mega Box
$
Enter box price
Price$50.00
Cards / Box30
Cost / Card$1.67
Base Packs2
Mega Packs2
Cost / Pack$12.50
CardCost
BASE CHROME CARDS FUCHSIA REFRACTOR
$1,025.00
BASE CHROME CARDS BURGUNDY REFRACTOR
$1,100.00
BASE CHROME CARDS PURPLE REFRACTOR
$1,225.00
BASE CHROME CARDS PINK REFRACTOR
$1,525.00
BASE CHROME CARDS NAVY REFRACTOR
$1,725.00
BASE CHROME CARDS BLUE REFRACTOR
$2,025.00
BASE CHROME CARDS AQUA REFRACTOR
$2,425.00
BASE CHROME CARDS GREEN REFRACTOR
$3,050.00
BASE CHROME CARDS YELLOW REFRACTOR
$4,025.00
BASE CHROME CARDS GOLD REFRACTOR
$6,025.00
BASE CHROME CARDS ORANGE REFRACTOR
$12,050.00
BASE CHROME CARDS RED REFRACTOR
$60,175.00
BASE CHROME CARDS BLACK REFRACTOR
$30,100.00
BASE CHROME CARDS ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$297,450.00
ROY FAVORITES
$50.00
ROY FAVORITES PURPLE REFRACTOR
$8,025.00
ROY FAVORITES PINK REFRACTOR
$10,100.00
ROY FAVORITES NAVY REFRACTOR
$11,475.00
ROY FAVORITES BLUE REFRACTOR
$13,375.00
ROY FAVORITES GREEN REFRACTOR
$20,275.00
ROY FAVORITES ORANGE REFRACTOR
$79,925.00
ROY FAVORITES BLACK REFRACTOR
$198,300.00
ROY FAVORITES RED REFRACTOR
$391,750.00
ROY FAVORITES ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$2,007,625.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS
$175.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS BURGUNDY REFRACTOR
$5,475.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS PURPLE REFRACTOR
$6,025.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS PINK REFRACTOR
$7,575.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS NAVY REFRACTOR
$8,600.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS BLUE REFRACTOR
$10,050.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS GREEN REFRACTOR
$15,200.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS GOLD REFRACTOR
$30,100.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS ORANGE REFRACTOR
$60,175.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS BLACK REFRACTOR
$150,125.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS RED REFRACTOR
$297,450.00
VIP'S VERY IMPORTANT PROSPECTS ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$1,460,100.00
BASE CARDS CHROME PROSPECTS IMAGE VARIATIONS
$20,075.00
BASE CARDS CHROME PROSPECTS IMAGE VARIATIONS ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$2,676,850.00
BASE CARDS CHROME IMAGE VARIATIONS
$20,075.00
BASE CARDS CHROME IMAGE VARIATIONS ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$2,676,850.00
MEGA FUTURES
$2,000.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS
$525.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS PURPLE REFRACTOR
$3,350.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS BLUE REFRACTOR
$4,325.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS GREEN REFRACTOR
$6,550.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS GOLD REFRACTOR
$12,950.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS BLACK REFRACTOR
$64,525.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS ORANGE REFRACTOR
$26,250.00
BOWMAN PROSPECT MEGA AUTOGRAPHS ROSE GOLD MOJO REFRACTOR
$642,450.00
BOWMAN ROOKIES MEGA AUTOGRAPHS
$27,050.00
BOWMAN ROOKIES MEGA AUTOGRAPHS ORANGE REFRACTOR
$106,375.00
BOWMAN ROOKIES MEGA AUTOGRAPHS ROSE GOLD REFRACTOR
$2,676,850.00
IMAGE VARIATIONS AUTOGRAPHS
$232,775.00
IMAGE VARIATIONS PROSPECT AUTOGRAPHS
$169,075.00

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