2025 Topps Tier One Baseball Odds
About 2025 Topps Tier One Baseball
2025 Topps Tier One Baseball launches on September 17, 2025, delivering an ultra-premium, single-pack hobby box experience. Each box contains four cards—including one base or parallel, two autographs, and one relic—for collectors seeking elite hits in every purchase.
- Release Date: 2025-09-17
- 1 box format available to compare
Value Analysis
The values above represent the expected cost to obtain each card type based on the stated odds and current box price. These are calculated averages and actual results may vary.
Based on the current box price of approximately $300, you can expect to pay about $75.00 per card in this format. This provides 4 cards per box, offering a straightforward way to build your collection.
In terms of specific card categories, autographs can be expected at approximately $37.38 per auto, parallels come at around $91.11 per parallel, relics are expected at approximately $42.96 per relic, based on the manufacturer-stated odds and box configuration. These expected values help you understand what you might find in each box.
Recommendations based on manufacturer-stated odds and box prices at time of last update. Actual prices and results may vary.
Missing Odds Data - Manufacturer Claims:
• Autographs: 2 per box (manufacturer estimate)
• Relics: 1 per box (manufacturer estimate)
| Category | Expected / Box | Cost / Hit | Hit Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Cards | 0.53 | $562.50 | 100% |
| Parallels | 3.29 | $91.11 | 99% |
| Auto Relics | 2.32 | $129.28 | 95% |
| Autographs | 5.70 | $52.59 | 100% |
| Relics | 4.66 | $64.33 | 100% |
Multi-Box Projections
| Boxes | Base | Parallels | Auto Relics | Autographs | Relics |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 9.9 | 7.0 | 17.1 | 14.0 |
| 5 | 2.7 | 16.5 | 11.6 | 28.5 | 23.3 |
| 10 | 5.3 | 32.9 | 23.2 | 57.0 | 46.6 |
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ
Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.
Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.
Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.
Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.
Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.
Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →
Hobby Box $ Enter box price | |
|---|---|
| Price | $300.00 |
| Cards / Box | 4 |
| Cost / Card | 75.00 |
| Packs | 4 |
| Cost / Pack | 75.00 |
| Card↑ | CostCost |
| $2,250.00 | |
| $15,525.00 | |
| $2,925.00 | |
| $4,425.00 | |
| $5,475.00 | |
| $7,350.00 | |
| $8,775.00 | |
| $21,825.00 | |
| $43,125.00 | |
| $211,125.00 | |
| $53,475.00 | |
| $750.00 | |
| $525.00 | |
| $6,300.00 | |
| $900.00 | |
| $1,200.00 | |
| $1,800.00 | |
| $2,250.00 | |
| $3,525.00 | |
| $8,775.00 | |
| $17,400.00 | |
| $86,175.00 | |
| $21,825.00 | |
| $450.00 | |
| $10,425.00 | |
| $1,200.00 | |
| $1,500.00 | |
| $2,925.00 | |
| $14,550.00 | |
| $28,725.00 | |
| $140,775.00 | |
| $36,150.00 | |
| $16,425.00 | |
| $29,325.00 | |
| $57,075.00 | |
| $469,125.00 | |
| $3,000.00 | |
| $6,750.00 | |
| $15,300.00 | |
| $140,775.00 | |
| $1,275.00 | |
| $8,325.00 | |
| $20,925.00 | |
| $201,075.00 | |
| $1,500.00 | |
| $2,025.00 | |
| $3,300.00 | |
| $6,150.00 | |
| $12,825.00 | |
| $67,050.00 | |
| $525.00 | |
| $1,050.00 | |
| $1,875.00 | |
| $3,450.00 | |
| $7,350.00 | |
| $68,100.00 | |
| $300.00 | |
| $600.00 | |
| $1,125.00 | |
| $2,175.00 | |
| $5,400.00 | |
| $50,925.00 | |
| $975.00 | |
| $1,500.00 | |
| $2,700.00 | |
| $4,950.00 | |
| $11,025.00 | |
| $103,050.00 | |
| $3,075.00 | |
| $4,725.00 | |
| $7,725.00 | |
| $12,300.00 | |
| $20,025.00 | |
| $168,900.00 | |
| $2,625.00 | |
| $4,050.00 | |
| $7,050.00 | |
| $12,525.00 | |
| $23,625.00 | |
| $222,225.00 | |
| $2,325.00 | |
| $3,225.00 | |
| $5,775.00 | |
| $10,125.00 | |
| $22,500.00 | |
| $222,225.00 | |
| $8,550.00 | |
| $28,575.00 | |
| $150,825.00 | |
| $67,050.00 | |
| $25,050.00 | |
| $248,400.00 | |
| $70,425.00 | |
| $603,150.00 | |
| $10,125.00 | |
| $91,800.00 | |
| $26,625.00 | |
| $222,225.00 | |
| $19,875.00 | |
| $150,825.00 | |
| $525.00 | |
| $750.00 | |
| $1,350.00 | |
| $5,475.00 | |
| $10,350.00 | |
| $51,525.00 | |
| $675.00 | |
| $1,050.00 | |
| $2,025.00 | |
| $7,950.00 | |
| $14,775.00 | |
| $74,100.00 | |
| $45,900.00 | |
| $183,600.00 | |
| $45,450.00 | |
| $191,925.00 | |
| $234,600.00 | |
| $300.00 | |
| $375.00 | |
| $600.00 | |
| $1,125.00 | |
| $2,250.00 | |
| $9,075.00 | |
| $44,925.00 | |
| $1,500.00 | |
| $5,400.00 | |
| $24,900.00 | |
| $201,075.00 | |
| $2,100.00 | |
| $7,125.00 | |
| $30,825.00 | |
| $301,575.00 | |
| $2,325.00 | |
| $4,500.00 | |
| $8,775.00 | |
| $168,900.00 | |
| $900.00 | |
| $2,850.00 | |
| $13,425.00 | |
| $124,200.00 | |
| $43,125.00 | |
| $43,125.00 | |
| $48,600.00 | |
| $17,400.00 | |
| $168,900.00 | |
| $211,125.00 | |
| $3,525.00 | |
| $7,050.00 | |
| $16,500.00 | |
| $111,150.00 | |
| $750.00 | |
| $3,225.00 | |
| $8,625.00 | |
| $75,450.00 | |
| $8,850.00 | |
| $86,175.00 |
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