2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Basketball Odds
Analyze 2025-26 Topps Chrome Sapphire Basketball pack odds and calculate the true cost to hit the cards you're chasing. Compare box formats including Hobby, Jumbo, Blaster, and more to find the best value for your breaks. View hit rates for autographs, relics, parallels, and rookie cards with real-time cost calculations based on current box prices. Make informed decisions before you buy with comprehensive odds analysis and expected value calculations.
Incomplete Odds Data Detected:
This odds sheet accounts for approximately 29 cards per box, but the actual box contains 32 cards. Base cards may be significantly undercounted.
Cost calculations may be inaccurate due to missing data.
| Category | Expected / Box | Cost / Hit | Hit Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base Cards | 24.00 | $41.67 | 100% |
| Inserts | 0.93 | $1072.96 | 78% |
| Parallels | 2.82 | $354.49 | 100% |
| Autographs | 1.00 | $1002.68 | 64% |
Multi-Box Projections
| Boxes | Base | Inserts | Parallels | Autographs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 72.0 | 2.8 | 8.5 | 3.0 |
| 5 | 120.0 | 4.7 | 14.1 | 5.0 |
| 10 | 240.0 | 9.3 | 28.2 | 10.0 |
ℹ️ Methodology & FAQ
Expected / Box: We analyze how many packs are in a box and the odds for each card type, then calculate the average you'd get across many boxes.
Hit Probability: We calculate your chance of getting at least one card by combining the odds for all cards in that category. This accounts for each card being pulled independently.
Data Source: Manufacturer odds sheets. May be incomplete or contain errors.
Accuracy: These represent mathematical averages. Your actual results may vary.
Missing Categories: If a category doesn't appear, those cards aren't listed in the odds sheet. This could mean they don't exist in this product, or the data is incomplete.
Scroll horizontally to see all pack comparisons →
Hobby $ Enter box price | |
|---|---|
| Price | $1000.00 |
| Cards / Box | 32 |
| Cost / Card | $31.25 |
| Packs | 8 |
| Cost / Pack | $125.00 |
| Card↑ | CostCost |
| $41.67 | |
| $2,750.00 | |
| $750.00 | |
| $1,500.00 | |
| $3,500.00 | |
| $7,000.00 | |
| $34,750.00 | |
| $8,500.00 | |
| $16,875.00 | |
| $42,125.00 | |
| $84,250.00 | |
| $420,875.00 | |
| $11,250.00 | |
| $22,500.00 | |
| $56,125.00 | |
| $112,250.00 | |
| $561,125.00 | |
| $11,250.00 | |
| $22,500.00 | |
| $56,125.00 | |
| $112,250.00 | |
| $561,125.00 | |
| $13,500.00 | |
| $27,000.00 | |
| $67,375.00 | |
| $134,750.00 | |
| $673,375.00 | |
| $9,625.00 | |
| $19,250.00 | |
| $48,125.00 | |
| $96,250.00 | |
| $481,000.00 | |
| $26,625.00 | |
| $16,875.00 | |
| $42,125.00 | |
| $84,250.00 | |
| $420,875.00 | |
| $1,375.00 | |
| $10,500.00 | |
| $20,875.00 | |
| $104,125.00 | |
| $505,000.00 | |
| $20,000.00 |
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